Recent ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center shows Moscow under increasing cloud cover and a cooler air mass on August 14, with daytime highs projected near 17–19°C after the warmer conditions of August 11. Light winds and variable insolation create a narrow uncertainty band around the daily maximum, keeping 17°C and 18°C outcomes nearly tied in trader sentiment. Minor differences hinge on exact timing of cloud breaks and any brief showers that could suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors the lower end of the distribution, with resolution depending on official station observations at the close of the calendar day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日莫斯科最高气温?
17°C 28%
18°C 28%
16°C 16%
19°C 12%
13°C或以下
5%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
16%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C
12%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C或更高
2%
17°C 28%
18°C 28%
16°C 16%
19°C 12%
13°C或以下
5%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
16%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C
12%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center shows Moscow under increasing cloud cover and a cooler air mass on August 14, with daytime highs projected near 17–19°C after the warmer conditions of August 11. Light winds and variable insolation create a narrow uncertainty band around the daily maximum, keeping 17°C and 18°C outcomes nearly tied in trader sentiment. Minor differences hinge on exact timing of cloud breaks and any brief showers that could suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors the lower end of the distribution, with resolution depending on official station observations at the close of the calendar day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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