Recent drier conditions forecast by Singapore's National Environment Agency for the first half of August, with reduced rainfall and cloud cover, have elevated daytime maxima toward 33–34°C on many days and positioned 32°C and 33°C as the dominant market outcomes. Equatorial solar insolation, the urban heat island effect, and Southwest monsoon patterns typically anchor August highs near 30–31°C at Changi, yet the current outlook favors occasional fair-weather peaks to 33°C. Model consensus and recent observations of 93°F (≈34°C) readings support the 59.5% and 35.5% implied probabilities, while lower outcomes remain possible if convective activity increases before the 12th. New short-range forecasts and official station data will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月12日的最高温度？
新加坡8月12日的最高温度？
32°C 59%
33°C 36%
31°C 5%
34°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
59%
33°C
36%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
33°C 36%
31°C 5%
34°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
27°C or below
$374 交易量
<1%
28°C
$528 交易量
<1%
29°C
$419 交易量
<1%
30°C
$351 交易量
2%
31°C
$762 交易量
5%
32°C
$2,233 交易量
59%
33°C
$652 交易量
36%
34°C
$639 交易量
3%
35°C
$400 交易量
1%
36°C
$350 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$425 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent drier conditions forecast by Singapore's National Environment Agency for the first half of August, with reduced rainfall and cloud cover, have elevated daytime maxima toward 33–34°C on many days and positioned 32°C and 33°C as the dominant market outcomes. Equatorial solar insolation, the urban heat island effect, and Southwest monsoon patterns typically anchor August highs near 30–31°C at Changi, yet the current outlook favors occasional fair-weather peaks to 33°C. Model consensus and recent observations of 93°F (≈34°C) readings support the 59.5% and 35.5% implied probabilities, while lower outcomes remain possible if convective activity increases before the 12th. New short-range forecasts and official station data will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$7,110结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent drier conditions forecast by Singapore's National Environment Agency for the first half of August, with reduced rainfall and cloud cover, have elevated daytime maxima toward 33–34°C on many days and positioned 32°C and 33°C as the dominant market outcomes. Equatorial solar insolation, the urban heat island effect, and Southwest monsoon patterns typically anchor August highs near 30–31°C at Changi, yet the current outlook favors occasional fair-weather peaks to 33°C. Model consensus and recent observations of 93°F (≈34°C) readings support the 59.5% and 35.5% implied probabilities, while lower outcomes remain possible if convective activity increases before the 12th. New short-range forecasts and official station data will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,110结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent drier conditions forecast by Singapore's National Environment Agency for the first half of August, with reduced rainfall and cloud cover, have elevated daytime maxima toward 33–34°C on many days and positioned 32°C and 33°C as the dominant market outcomes. Equatorial solar insolation, the urban heat island effect, and Southwest monsoon patterns typically anchor August highs near 30–31°C at Changi, yet the current outlook favors occasional fair-weather peaks to 33°C. Model consensus and recent observations of 93°F (≈34°C) readings support the 59.5% and 35.5% implied probabilities, while lower outcomes remain possible if convective activity increases before the 12th. New short-range forecasts and official station data will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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