Current numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 36–37°C in Chongqing on August 12, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 60% and 30% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon circulation, combined with the city's basin topography that limits ventilation and enhances heat retention, supports these values against an August climatological average high near 33–35°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover suppressing the peak, while recent observations from nearby stations confirm ongoing warm advection without extreme heat-wave intensification. Traders weigh these model consensus signals heavily, noting that any late-day revision in boundary-layer conditions could shift resolution between the two dominant bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日重庆气温最高？
8月12日重庆气温最高？
36°C 60%
37°C 29%
38°C 9%
40°C <1%
$54,299 交易量
$54,299 交易量
2026-08-12
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
60%
37°C
29%
38°C
9%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 60%
37°C 29%
38°C 9%
40°C <1%
$54,299 交易量
$54,299 交易量
2026-08-12
31°C or below
$3,056 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,335 交易量
<1%
33°C
$2,958 交易量
<1%
34°C
$9,959 交易量
<1%
35°C
$5,460 交易量
<1%
36°C
$6,275 交易量
60%
37°C
$7,325 交易量
29%
38°C
$4,743 交易量
9%
39°C
$5,162 交易量
1%
40°C
$1,647 交易量
1%
41°C or higher
$5,379 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 36–37°C in Chongqing on August 12, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 60% and 30% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon circulation, combined with the city's basin topography that limits ventilation and enhances heat retention, supports these values against an August climatological average high near 33–35°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover suppressing the peak, while recent observations from nearby stations confirm ongoing warm advection without extreme heat-wave intensification. Traders weigh these model consensus signals heavily, noting that any late-day revision in boundary-layer conditions could shift resolution between the two dominant bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$54,299结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 36–37°C in Chongqing on August 12, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 60% and 30% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon circulation, combined with the city's basin topography that limits ventilation and enhances heat retention, supports these values against an August climatological average high near 33–35°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover suppressing the peak, while recent observations from nearby stations confirm ongoing warm advection without extreme heat-wave intensification. Traders weigh these model consensus signals heavily, noting that any late-day revision in boundary-layer conditions could shift resolution between the two dominant bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$54,299结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 36–37°C in Chongqing on August 12, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 60% and 30% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon circulation, combined with the city's basin topography that limits ventilation and enhances heat retention, supports these values against an August climatological average high near 33–35°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover suppressing the peak, while recent observations from nearby stations confirm ongoing warm advection without extreme heat-wave intensification. Traders weigh these model consensus signals heavily, noting that any late-day revision in boundary-layer conditions could shift resolution between the two dominant bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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