Recent forecast consensus from the Met Office and European models indicates London will reach a daytime high of 30–32°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure and sunny conditions tied to the current heatwave. This setup favors 31°C as the leading market outcome at 36.5% implied probability, with 30°C close behind. The warm air advection from the continent and minimal cloud cover are the dominant drivers, though slight model spread on timing of any Atlantic front introduces uncertainty for 32°C or higher. Official updates from the Met Office and NHC analogs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日伦敦气温最高？
8月12日伦敦气温最高？
31°C 37%
30°C 27%
32°C 22.1%
29°C 6%
最新
$14,713 交易量
最新
$14,713 交易量
2026-08-12
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
27%
31°C
37%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C或更高
2%
31°C 37%
30°C 27%
32°C 22.1%
29°C 6%
最新
$14,713 交易量
最新
$14,713 交易量
2026-08-12
24°C or below
$667 交易量
<1%
25°C
$393 交易量
<1%
26°C
$785 交易量
<1%
27°C
$545 交易量
1%
28°C
$794 交易量
3%
29°C
$2,222 交易量
6%
30°C
$3,715 交易量
27%
31°C
$3,100 交易量
37%
32°C
$974 交易量
22%
33°C
$616 交易量
5%
34°C或更高
$902 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the Met Office and European models indicates London will reach a daytime high of 30–32°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure and sunny conditions tied to the current heatwave. This setup favors 31°C as the leading market outcome at 36.5% implied probability, with 30°C close behind. The warm air advection from the continent and minimal cloud cover are the dominant drivers, though slight model spread on timing of any Atlantic front introduces uncertainty for 32°C or higher. Official updates from the Met Office and NHC analogs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$14,713结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the Met Office and European models indicates London will reach a daytime high of 30–32°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure and sunny conditions tied to the current heatwave. This setup favors 31°C as the leading market outcome at 36.5% implied probability, with 30°C close behind. The warm air advection from the continent and minimal cloud cover are the dominant drivers, though slight model spread on timing of any Atlantic front introduces uncertainty for 32°C or higher. Official updates from the Met Office and NHC analogs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,713结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from the Met Office and European models indicates London will reach a daytime high of 30–32°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure and sunny conditions tied to the current heatwave. This setup favors 31°C as the leading market outcome at 36.5% implied probability, with 30°C close behind. The warm air advection from the continent and minimal cloud cover are the dominant drivers, though slight model spread on timing of any Atlantic front introduces uncertainty for 32°C or higher. Official updates from the Met Office and NHC analogs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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