Recent meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 13 position 33–35°C as the most probable daily maximum range, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, weak steering flows, and scattered thunderstorm activity that often caps afternoon peaks. Official guidance from sources including the Met Office indicates maxima near 34–35°C amid partly cloudy to thundery skies, while historical August averages hover around 32°C with frequent convective cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43% implied probability for 34°C, aligns with model consensus on modest instability limiting extreme heat, though any delay in rain or clearer skies could push readings higher within the narrow probability bands. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日深圳气温最高？
8月13日深圳气温最高？
34°C 43%
33°C 31%
35°C 15%
32°C 7%
最新
$10,140 交易量
最新
$10,140 交易量
2026-08-13
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
7%
33°C
31%
34°C
43%
35°C
15%
36°C
5%
37℃
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 31%
35°C 15%
32°C 7%
最新
$10,140 交易量
最新
$10,140 交易量
2026-08-13
28°C或以下
$1,293 交易量
<1%
29°C
$322 交易量
<1%
30°C
$264 交易量
<1%
31°C
$282 交易量
4%
32°C
$527 交易量
7%
33°C
$1,454 交易量
31%
34°C
$2,341 交易量
43%
35°C
$611 交易量
15%
36°C
$837 交易量
5%
37℃
$1,180 交易量
1%
38°C或更高
$1,030 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 13 position 33–35°C as the most probable daily maximum range, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, weak steering flows, and scattered thunderstorm activity that often caps afternoon peaks. Official guidance from sources including the Met Office indicates maxima near 34–35°C amid partly cloudy to thundery skies, while historical August averages hover around 32°C with frequent convective cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43% implied probability for 34°C, aligns with model consensus on modest instability limiting extreme heat, though any delay in rain or clearer skies could push readings higher within the narrow probability bands. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$10,140结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 13 position 33–35°C as the most probable daily maximum range, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, weak steering flows, and scattered thunderstorm activity that often caps afternoon peaks. Official guidance from sources including the Met Office indicates maxima near 34–35°C amid partly cloudy to thundery skies, while historical August averages hover around 32°C with frequent convective cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43% implied probability for 34°C, aligns with model consensus on modest instability limiting extreme heat, though any delay in rain or clearer skies could push readings higher within the narrow probability bands. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,140结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 13 position 33–35°C as the most probable daily maximum range, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, weak steering flows, and scattered thunderstorm activity that often caps afternoon peaks. Official guidance from sources including the Met Office indicates maxima near 34–35°C amid partly cloudy to thundery skies, while historical August averages hover around 32°C with frequent convective cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43% implied probability for 34°C, aligns with model consensus on modest instability limiting extreme heat, though any delay in rain or clearer skies could push readings higher within the narrow probability bands. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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