Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon continues to drive cloud cover and frequent showers over Metro Manila, capping daytime heating and keeping official PAGASA guidance centered on a 30°C maximum for August 13 with a 100% rain probability. Recent model runs and climatological analogs for peak monsoon conditions show that scattered breaks in the overcast can briefly allow readings to reach 31°C, while sustained rain keeps the high pinned at or below 30°C. Traders therefore place nearly equal weight on these two outcomes, reflecting the narrow scientific margin between monsoon suppression and any temporary solar heating. Updated PAGASA and NHC-equivalent regional guidance expected later today will refine the rain timing and intensity, directly influencing final temperature resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月13日马尼拉的最高温度？
31°C 44%
30°C 36%
29°C 10%
32°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
36%
31°C
44%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C或更高
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 36%
29°C 10%
32°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
25°C或以下
$267 交易量
<1%
26°C
$306 交易量
<1%
27°C
$253 交易量
1%
28°C
$380 交易量
3%
29°C
$1,179 交易量
10%
30°C
$729 交易量
36%
31°C
$1,068 交易量
44%
32°C
$817 交易量
9%
33°C
$1,087 交易量
2%
34°C
$323 交易量
1%
35°C或更高
$341 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon continues to drive cloud cover and frequent showers over Metro Manila, capping daytime heating and keeping official PAGASA guidance centered on a 30°C maximum for August 13 with a 100% rain probability. Recent model runs and climatological analogs for peak monsoon conditions show that scattered breaks in the overcast can briefly allow readings to reach 31°C, while sustained rain keeps the high pinned at or below 30°C. Traders therefore place nearly equal weight on these two outcomes, reflecting the narrow scientific margin between monsoon suppression and any temporary solar heating. Updated PAGASA and NHC-equivalent regional guidance expected later today will refine the rain timing and intensity, directly influencing final temperature resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$6,749结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon continues to drive cloud cover and frequent showers over Metro Manila, capping daytime heating and keeping official PAGASA guidance centered on a 30°C maximum for August 13 with a 100% rain probability. Recent model runs and climatological analogs for peak monsoon conditions show that scattered breaks in the overcast can briefly allow readings to reach 31°C, while sustained rain keeps the high pinned at or below 30°C. Traders therefore place nearly equal weight on these two outcomes, reflecting the narrow scientific margin between monsoon suppression and any temporary solar heating. Updated PAGASA and NHC-equivalent regional guidance expected later today will refine the rain timing and intensity, directly influencing final temperature resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,749结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon continues to drive cloud cover and frequent showers over Metro Manila, capping daytime heating and keeping official PAGASA guidance centered on a 30°C maximum for August 13 with a 100% rain probability. Recent model runs and climatological analogs for peak monsoon conditions show that scattered breaks in the overcast can briefly allow readings to reach 31°C, while sustained rain keeps the high pinned at or below 30°C. Traders therefore place nearly equal weight on these two outcomes, reflecting the narrow scientific margin between monsoon suppression and any temporary solar heating. Updated PAGASA and NHC-equivalent regional guidance expected later today will refine the rain timing and intensity, directly influencing final temperature resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题