Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF shows a cooling trend for Amsterdam on August 15, following mid-week highs near 32–33°C, as northerly flow advects cooler maritime air under increasing cloud cover and a chance of light showers or thundershowers. This setup caps daytime maxima near 25–26°C, with trader sentiment clustering tightly around those thresholds because even modest differences in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August averages hover near 22°C, so the current pattern reflects a transient Atlantic influence rather than persistent heat. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution criteria around exact maximum readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日阿姆斯特丹气温最高?
26°C 32%
27°C 31%
25°C 19%
24°C 13%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
19%
26°C
32%
27°C
31%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
1%
26°C 32%
27°C 31%
25°C 19%
24°C 13%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
19%
26°C
32%
27°C
31%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF shows a cooling trend for Amsterdam on August 15, following mid-week highs near 32–33°C, as northerly flow advects cooler maritime air under increasing cloud cover and a chance of light showers or thundershowers. This setup caps daytime maxima near 25–26°C, with trader sentiment clustering tightly around those thresholds because even modest differences in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August averages hover near 22°C, so the current pattern reflects a transient Atlantic influence rather than persistent heat. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution criteria around exact maximum readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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