Forecast models from AccuWeather and timeanddate currently project mostly sunny, sweltering conditions in Chengdu on August 13, with daytime highs centered around 37–38°C (99–100°F) and very low precipitation chances. This consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 37°C (44.5%) and 38°C (28.5%), followed by 36°C (19.5%). Typical August subtropical high humidity and regional atmospheric stability support these elevated temperatures, while historical August averages hover near 31–34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal cloud cover and stable steering patterns, with any late forecast revisions on wind or moisture likely to shift the tight distribution around the 36–38°C cluster.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日成都气温最高？
8月13日成都气温最高？
37°C 45%
38°C 29%
36°C 18%
39°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
32°C或以下
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C
18%
37°C
45%
38°C
29%
39°C
6%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
37°C 45%
38°C 29%
36°C 18%
39°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
32°C或以下
$757 交易量
<1%
33°C
$340 交易量
1%
34°C
$511 交易量
3%
35°C
$246 交易量
5%
36°C
$306 交易量
18%
37°C
$2,316 交易量
45%
38°C
$943 交易量
29%
39°C
$600 交易量
6%
40°C
$655 交易量
<1%
41°C
$526 交易量
<1%
42°C或更高
$199 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from AccuWeather and timeanddate currently project mostly sunny, sweltering conditions in Chengdu on August 13, with daytime highs centered around 37–38°C (99–100°F) and very low precipitation chances. This consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 37°C (44.5%) and 38°C (28.5%), followed by 36°C (19.5%). Typical August subtropical high humidity and regional atmospheric stability support these elevated temperatures, while historical August averages hover near 31–34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal cloud cover and stable steering patterns, with any late forecast revisions on wind or moisture likely to shift the tight distribution around the 36–38°C cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$7,399结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from AccuWeather and timeanddate currently project mostly sunny, sweltering conditions in Chengdu on August 13, with daytime highs centered around 37–38°C (99–100°F) and very low precipitation chances. This consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 37°C (44.5%) and 38°C (28.5%), followed by 36°C (19.5%). Typical August subtropical high humidity and regional atmospheric stability support these elevated temperatures, while historical August averages hover near 31–34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal cloud cover and stable steering patterns, with any late forecast revisions on wind or moisture likely to shift the tight distribution around the 36–38°C cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,399结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETForecast models from AccuWeather and timeanddate currently project mostly sunny, sweltering conditions in Chengdu on August 13, with daytime highs centered around 37–38°C (99–100°F) and very low precipitation chances. This consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 37°C (44.5%) and 38°C (28.5%), followed by 36°C (19.5%). Typical August subtropical high humidity and regional atmospheric stability support these elevated temperatures, while historical August averages hover near 31–34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal cloud cover and stable steering patterns, with any late forecast revisions on wind or moisture likely to shift the tight distribution around the 36–38°C cluster.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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