Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC, Met Office, and Weather.com indicate a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Wuhan on August 13, shaped by expected thundery showers and increased cloud cover that will reduce solar insolation and cap afternoon heating. These conditions contrast with Wuhan’s typical August climatology of 31–35°C highs, reflecting short-term steering patterns and moisture from regional monsoon influences. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–29°C because small differences in shower timing or intensity—visible in updated model runs—could shift the observed peak by 1°C, while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low absent clearer skies. Traders monitor official updates from Chinese meteorological services for the final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日武汉气温最高？
8月13日武汉气温最高？
28°C 32%
29°C 32%
27°C 20%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
32%
29°C
32%
30°C
7%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 32%
29°C 32%
27°C 20%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
23°C或以下
$593 交易量
<1%
24°C
$713 交易量
1%
25°C
$662 交易量
3%
26°C
$220 交易量
5%
27°C
$1,016 交易量
20%
28°C
$741 交易量
32%
29°C
$1,108 交易量
32%
30°C
$1,335 交易量
7%
31°C
$578 交易量
3%
32°C
$115 交易量
1%
33°C或以上
$193 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC, Met Office, and Weather.com indicate a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Wuhan on August 13, shaped by expected thundery showers and increased cloud cover that will reduce solar insolation and cap afternoon heating. These conditions contrast with Wuhan’s typical August climatology of 31–35°C highs, reflecting short-term steering patterns and moisture from regional monsoon influences. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–29°C because small differences in shower timing or intensity—visible in updated model runs—could shift the observed peak by 1°C, while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low absent clearer skies. Traders monitor official updates from Chinese meteorological services for the final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$7,274结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC, Met Office, and Weather.com indicate a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Wuhan on August 13, shaped by expected thundery showers and increased cloud cover that will reduce solar insolation and cap afternoon heating. These conditions contrast with Wuhan’s typical August climatology of 31–35°C highs, reflecting short-term steering patterns and moisture from regional monsoon influences. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–29°C because small differences in shower timing or intensity—visible in updated model runs—could shift the observed peak by 1°C, while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low absent clearer skies. Traders monitor official updates from Chinese meteorological services for the final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,274结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including the BBC, Met Office, and Weather.com indicate a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Wuhan on August 13, shaped by expected thundery showers and increased cloud cover that will reduce solar insolation and cap afternoon heating. These conditions contrast with Wuhan’s typical August climatology of 31–35°C highs, reflecting short-term steering patterns and moisture from regional monsoon influences. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–29°C because small differences in shower timing or intensity—visible in updated model runs—could shift the observed peak by 1°C, while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low absent clearer skies. Traders monitor official updates from Chinese meteorological services for the final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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