Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate Jinan will see overcast skies with passing showers or downpours on August 13, limiting solar heating and positioning the daily maximum near 26–27 °C (79–81 °F). This aligns with the market’s 97.5 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher, as typical August climatology features clearer conditions and highs of 30–33 °C, but the present synoptic pattern—persistent cloud cover and moisture—suppresses temperatures toward the lower end of seasonal norms. Official meteorological guidance shows low variability in model runs, supporting trader consensus around these values. A rapid clearing of skies or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher, while an unusually strong cooling inflow remains the main low-probability path to sub-26 °C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日济南气温最高？
8月13日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 97%
25°C 9%
20°C <1%
24°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
97%
26°C or higher 97%
25°C 9%
20°C <1%
24°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
16°C or below
$110 交易量
<1%
17°C
$110 交易量
<1%
18°C
$110 交易量
<1%
19°C
$260 交易量
<1%
20°C
$403 交易量
1%
21°C
$132 交易量
<1%
22°C
$132 交易量
<1%
23°C
$382 交易量
1%
24°C
$382 交易量
1%
25°C
$449 交易量
9%
26°C or higher
$843 交易量
97%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate Jinan will see overcast skies with passing showers or downpours on August 13, limiting solar heating and positioning the daily maximum near 26–27 °C (79–81 °F). This aligns with the market’s 97.5 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher, as typical August climatology features clearer conditions and highs of 30–33 °C, but the present synoptic pattern—persistent cloud cover and moisture—suppresses temperatures toward the lower end of seasonal norms. Official meteorological guidance shows low variability in model runs, supporting trader consensus around these values. A rapid clearing of skies or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher, while an unusually strong cooling inflow remains the main low-probability path to sub-26 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$3,312结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate Jinan will see overcast skies with passing showers or downpours on August 13, limiting solar heating and positioning the daily maximum near 26–27 °C (79–81 °F). This aligns with the market’s 97.5 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher, as typical August climatology features clearer conditions and highs of 30–33 °C, but the present synoptic pattern—persistent cloud cover and moisture—suppresses temperatures toward the lower end of seasonal norms. Official meteorological guidance shows low variability in model runs, supporting trader consensus around these values. A rapid clearing of skies or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher, while an unusually strong cooling inflow remains the main low-probability path to sub-26 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,312结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate Jinan will see overcast skies with passing showers or downpours on August 13, limiting solar heating and positioning the daily maximum near 26–27 °C (79–81 °F). This aligns with the market’s 97.5 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher, as typical August climatology features clearer conditions and highs of 30–33 °C, but the present synoptic pattern—persistent cloud cover and moisture—suppresses temperatures toward the lower end of seasonal norms. Official meteorological guidance shows low variability in model runs, supporting trader consensus around these values. A rapid clearing of skies or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher, while an unusually strong cooling inflow remains the main low-probability path to sub-26 °C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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