Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate a peak of 37–39°C in Paris on August 13 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime heating. This aligns with the ongoing heatwave, already producing afternoon readings above 33°C earlier in the week and triggering a yellow vigilance alert. The urban heat island effect in central Paris further supports higher maxima, while ensemble consistency across European models reduces downside risk for sub-37°C outcomes. Trader positioning reflects these near-term data, with 38°C holding the plurality as the most probable resolution threshold ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日巴黎气温最高？
8月13日巴黎气温最高？
38°C 46%
37°C 30%
39°C 12%
36°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
9%
37°C
30%
38°C
46%
39°C
12%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 46%
37°C 30%
39°C 12%
36°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
32°C or below
$93 交易量
<1%
33°C
$29 交易量
<1%
34°C
$364 交易量
1%
35°C
$17 交易量
4%
36°C
$142 交易量
9%
37°C
$76 交易量
30%
38°C
$337 交易量
46%
39°C
$20 交易量
12%
40°C
$10 交易量
4%
41°C
$27 交易量
1%
42°C or higher
$28 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate a peak of 37–39°C in Paris on August 13 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime heating. This aligns with the ongoing heatwave, already producing afternoon readings above 33°C earlier in the week and triggering a yellow vigilance alert. The urban heat island effect in central Paris further supports higher maxima, while ensemble consistency across European models reduces downside risk for sub-37°C outcomes. Trader positioning reflects these near-term data, with 38°C holding the plurality as the most probable resolution threshold ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,144结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate a peak of 37–39°C in Paris on August 13 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime heating. This aligns with the ongoing heatwave, already producing afternoon readings above 33°C earlier in the week and triggering a yellow vigilance alert. The urban heat island effect in central Paris further supports higher maxima, while ensemble consistency across European models reduces downside risk for sub-37°C outcomes. Trader positioning reflects these near-term data, with 38°C holding the plurality as the most probable resolution threshold ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,144结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Météo-France and models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate a peak of 37–39°C in Paris on August 13 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime heating. This aligns with the ongoing heatwave, already producing afternoon readings above 33°C earlier in the week and triggering a yellow vigilance alert. The urban heat island effect in central Paris further supports higher maxima, while ensemble consistency across European models reduces downside risk for sub-37°C outcomes. Trader positioning reflects these near-term data, with 38°C holding the plurality as the most probable resolution threshold ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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