Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD cluster Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C under persistent high pressure, limited cloud cover, and light winds that promote daytime heating. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and minor differences in any weak frontal passage create the tight split between the 30 °C (36.0 %) and 31 °C (33.5 %) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C capture tail risks. These near-term runs reflect greater uncertainty than typical August climatology (around 25 °C), with updated ICON and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours to refine surface energy balance projections ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日慕尼黑的最高温度？
8月13日慕尼黑的最高温度？
30°C 41%
31°C 33%
29°C 14%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
14%
30°C
41%
31°C
33%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 41%
31°C 33%
29°C 14%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
$101 交易量
<1%
25°C
$27 交易量
<1%
26°C
$23 交易量
<1%
27°C
$19 交易量
1%
28°C
$19 交易量
6%
29°C
$127 交易量
14%
30°C
$361 交易量
41%
31°C
$57 交易量
33%
32°C
$276 交易量
10%
33°C
$82 交易量
2%
34°C or higher
$90 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD cluster Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C under persistent high pressure, limited cloud cover, and light winds that promote daytime heating. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and minor differences in any weak frontal passage create the tight split between the 30 °C (36.0 %) and 31 °C (33.5 %) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C capture tail risks. These near-term runs reflect greater uncertainty than typical August climatology (around 25 °C), with updated ICON and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours to refine surface energy balance projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,182结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD cluster Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C under persistent high pressure, limited cloud cover, and light winds that promote daytime heating. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and minor differences in any weak frontal passage create the tight split between the 30 °C (36.0 %) and 31 °C (33.5 %) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C capture tail risks. These near-term runs reflect greater uncertainty than typical August climatology (around 25 °C), with updated ICON and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours to refine surface energy balance projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,182结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD cluster Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C under persistent high pressure, limited cloud cover, and light winds that promote daytime heating. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and minor differences in any weak frontal passage create the tight split between the 30 °C (36.0 %) and 31 °C (33.5 %) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C capture tail risks. These near-term runs reflect greater uncertainty than typical August climatology (around 25 °C), with updated ICON and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours to refine surface energy balance projections ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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