Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate increasing cloud cover and showers over Tokyo through August 13, which limit overnight radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. Persistent high pressure combined with elevated humidity and precipitation chances has shifted model consensus slightly below seasonal normals of about 23.7°C. Ensemble runs show small sensitivities to exact cloud timing and wind speeds that can alter the low by 1°C, explaining the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日东京气温最低？
8月13日东京气温最低？
24°C 42%
23°C 41%
22°C 13%
20°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
18℃或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
8%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
41%
24°C
42%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C或更高
<1%
24°C 42%
23°C 41%
22°C 13%
20°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
18℃或以下
$53 交易量
<1%
19°C
$58 交易量
<1%
20°C
$68 交易量
8%
21°C
$48 交易量
5%
22°C
$48 交易量
13%
23°C
$53 交易量
41%
24°C
$159 交易量
42%
25°C
$48 交易量
5%
26°C
$48 交易量
2%
27°C
$5 交易量
5%
28°C或更高
$53 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate increasing cloud cover and showers over Tokyo through August 13, which limit overnight radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. Persistent high pressure combined with elevated humidity and precipitation chances has shifted model consensus slightly below seasonal normals of about 23.7°C. Ensemble runs show small sensitivities to exact cloud timing and wind speeds that can alter the low by 1°C, explaining the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$643结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate increasing cloud cover and showers over Tokyo through August 13, which limit overnight radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. Persistent high pressure combined with elevated humidity and precipitation chances has shifted model consensus slightly below seasonal normals of about 23.7°C. Ensemble runs show small sensitivities to exact cloud timing and wind speeds that can alter the low by 1°C, explaining the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$643结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate increasing cloud cover and showers over Tokyo through August 13, which limit overnight radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. Persistent high pressure combined with elevated humidity and precipitation chances has shifted model consensus slightly below seasonal normals of about 23.7°C. Ensemble runs show small sensitivities to exact cloud timing and wind speeds that can alter the low by 1°C, explaining the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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