Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a maximum of 34°C in Busan on August 11 under clear skies, with models converging on highs in the low-to-mid 30s amid lingering regional heatwave conditions and coastal moderation. Trader consensus has coalesced around 30°C and 31°C as the most probable outcomes because of typical forecast uncertainty ranges, historical August baselines near 29–31°C, and the influence of the North Pacific High sustaining warmth without extreme inland amplification. Updated model runs and any overnight observational shifts from the ongoing high-pressure pattern could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日釜山气温最高？
8月11日釜山气温最高？
30°C 41%
31°C 26%
28°C 18%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
18%
29°C
13%
30°C
41%
31°C
26%
32°C
5%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
5%
30°C 41%
31°C 26%
28°C 18%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
24°C or below
$361 交易量
<1%
25°C
$32 交易量
1%
26°C
$19 交易量
1%
27°C
$13 交易量
1%
28°C
$39 交易量
18%
29°C
$3 交易量
13%
30°C
$156 交易量
41%
31°C
$0 交易量
26%
32°C
$0 交易量
5%
33°C
$2 交易量
4%
34°C or higher
$17 交易量
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a maximum of 34°C in Busan on August 11 under clear skies, with models converging on highs in the low-to-mid 30s amid lingering regional heatwave conditions and coastal moderation. Trader consensus has coalesced around 30°C and 31°C as the most probable outcomes because of typical forecast uncertainty ranges, historical August baselines near 29–31°C, and the influence of the North Pacific High sustaining warmth without extreme inland amplification. Updated model runs and any overnight observational shifts from the ongoing high-pressure pattern could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$642结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a maximum of 34°C in Busan on August 11 under clear skies, with models converging on highs in the low-to-mid 30s amid lingering regional heatwave conditions and coastal moderation. Trader consensus has coalesced around 30°C and 31°C as the most probable outcomes because of typical forecast uncertainty ranges, historical August baselines near 29–31°C, and the influence of the North Pacific High sustaining warmth without extreme inland amplification. Updated model runs and any overnight observational shifts from the ongoing high-pressure pattern could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$642结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a maximum of 34°C in Busan on August 11 under clear skies, with models converging on highs in the low-to-mid 30s amid lingering regional heatwave conditions and coastal moderation. Trader consensus has coalesced around 30°C and 31°C as the most probable outcomes because of typical forecast uncertainty ranges, historical August baselines near 29–31°C, and the influence of the North Pacific High sustaining warmth without extreme inland amplification. Updated model runs and any overnight observational shifts from the ongoing high-pressure pattern could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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