Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate Paris highs near 33–35°C on August 9, driven by southerly flow advecting warm air masses under high pressure, with strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover expected to push peaks into the mid-30s. Trader consensus clusters on 33–34°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, or brief convective development that could cap the maximum. Historical August extremes in the Île-de-France region average 25–27°C, so current anomalies reflect persistent warmth above climatology. Updated model runs and official bulletins through the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日巴黎气温最高？
8月9日巴黎气温最高？
34°C 34%
33°C 30%
32°C 16%
35°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
16%
33°C
30%
34°C
34%
35°C
14%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 34%
33°C 30%
32°C 16%
35°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
28°C or below
$1,131 交易量
<1%
29°C
$18 交易量
<1%
30°C
$10 交易量
1%
31°C
$85 交易量
4%
32°C
$430 交易量
16%
33°C
$391 交易量
30%
34°C
$999 交易量
34%
35°C
$251 交易量
14%
36°C
$35 交易量
2%
37°C
$42 交易量
1%
38°C or higher
$66 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate Paris highs near 33–35°C on August 9, driven by southerly flow advecting warm air masses under high pressure, with strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover expected to push peaks into the mid-30s. Trader consensus clusters on 33–34°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, or brief convective development that could cap the maximum. Historical August extremes in the Île-de-France region average 25–27°C, so current anomalies reflect persistent warmth above climatology. Updated model runs and official bulletins through the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$3,458结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate Paris highs near 33–35°C on August 9, driven by southerly flow advecting warm air masses under high pressure, with strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover expected to push peaks into the mid-30s. Trader consensus clusters on 33–34°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, or brief convective development that could cap the maximum. Historical August extremes in the Île-de-France region average 25–27°C, so current anomalies reflect persistent warmth above climatology. Updated model runs and official bulletins through the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,458结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate Paris highs near 33–35°C on August 9, driven by southerly flow advecting warm air masses under high pressure, with strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover expected to push peaks into the mid-30s. Trader consensus clusters on 33–34°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, or brief convective development that could cap the maximum. Historical August extremes in the Île-de-France region average 25–27°C, so current anomalies reflect persistent warmth above climatology. Updated model runs and official bulletins through the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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