Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a 25°C minimum for Incheon on August 13 under mostly clear skies and light winds, which normally limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus, however, centers on 23–24°C, reflecting minor divergences among numerical models regarding nocturnal boundary-layer mixing, humidity retention, and any subtle cloud cover that could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. These values sit near the long-term August climatological average low of roughly 23°C for the Seoul-Incheon area, where high daytime heat and elevated humidity typically produce only modest temperature drops after sunset. With resolution based on the official KMA morning minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m., updated model runs and the next KMA briefing remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.