Recent forecast consensus from sources including the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw's August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. Model runs show limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for 23 °C or below modest while capping upside risk above 26 °C absent a sudden high-pressure shift. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily, with implied odds reflecting the narrow temperature range expected before any final model updates on the 12th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月13日的最高温度？
华沙8月13日的最高温度？
24°C 43%
25°C 29%
23°C 24%
22°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
24%
24°C
43%
25°C
29%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C或更高
1%
24°C 43%
25°C 29%
23°C 24%
22°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
20°C或以下
$33 交易量
<1%
21°C
$380 交易量
1%
22°C
$289 交易量
6%
23°C
$172 交易量
24%
24°C
$430 交易量
43%
25°C
$252 交易量
29%
26°C
$26 交易量
5%
27°C
$28 交易量
2%
28°C
$12 交易量
1%
29°C
$31 交易量
1%
30°C或更高
$185 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources including the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw's August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. Model runs show limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for 23 °C or below modest while capping upside risk above 26 °C absent a sudden high-pressure shift. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily, with implied odds reflecting the narrow temperature range expected before any final model updates on the 12th.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,838结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources including the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw's August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. Model runs show limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for 23 °C or below modest while capping upside risk above 26 °C absent a sudden high-pressure shift. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily, with implied odds reflecting the narrow temperature range expected before any final model updates on the 12th.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,838结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from sources including the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw's August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. Model runs show limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for 23 °C or below modest while capping upside risk above 26 °C absent a sudden high-pressure shift. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily, with implied odds reflecting the narrow temperature range expected before any final model updates on the 12th.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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