Traders are focusing on short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF, which place Paris overnight minima around 20–21°C for August 13 amid a warm, mostly clear pattern with light winds that limit radiative cooling. Model spreads and local urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering between those two bins, while slightly cooler 19°C scenarios hinge on greater cloud cover or a modest northerly shift. Historical August lows average near 15–16°C, so current guidance reflects anomalous warmth; resolution will depend on the final observed minimum at official stations, with updated model runs and satellite data expected to narrow uncertainty before the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日巴黎最低气温？
8月13日巴黎最低气温？
21°C 37%
20°C 28%
19°C 17%
22°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
18°C或以下
6%
19°C
17%
20°C
28%
21°C
31%
22°C
14%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
<1%
21°C 37%
20°C 28%
19°C 17%
22°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
18°C或以下
$70 交易量
6%
19°C
$44 交易量
17%
20°C
$0 交易量
28%
21°C
$5 交易量
31%
22°C
$177 交易量
14%
23°C
$0 交易量
6%
24°C
$286 交易量
2%
25°C
$343 交易量
<1%
26°C
$261 交易量
<1%
27°C
$12 交易量
1%
28°C或更高
$12 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are focusing on short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF, which place Paris overnight minima around 20–21°C for August 13 amid a warm, mostly clear pattern with light winds that limit radiative cooling. Model spreads and local urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering between those two bins, while slightly cooler 19°C scenarios hinge on greater cloud cover or a modest northerly shift. Historical August lows average near 15–16°C, so current guidance reflects anomalous warmth; resolution will depend on the final observed minimum at official stations, with updated model runs and satellite data expected to narrow uncertainty before the date.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,210结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are focusing on short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF, which place Paris overnight minima around 20–21°C for August 13 amid a warm, mostly clear pattern with light winds that limit radiative cooling. Model spreads and local urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering between those two bins, while slightly cooler 19°C scenarios hinge on greater cloud cover or a modest northerly shift. Historical August lows average near 15–16°C, so current guidance reflects anomalous warmth; resolution will depend on the final observed minimum at official stations, with updated model runs and satellite data expected to narrow uncertainty before the date.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,210结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTraders are focusing on short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF, which place Paris overnight minima around 20–21°C for August 13 amid a warm, mostly clear pattern with light winds that limit radiative cooling. Model spreads and local urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering between those two bins, while slightly cooler 19°C scenarios hinge on greater cloud cover or a modest northerly shift. Historical August lows average near 15–16°C, so current guidance reflects anomalous warmth; resolution will depend on the final observed minimum at official stations, with updated model runs and satellite data expected to narrow uncertainty before the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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