Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather point to a peak of 34–35°C in London on August 13 amid the fifth heatwave of summer 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds favoring strong daytime radiative heating. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, supporting the near-even market split between 35°C and 36°C implied probabilities while capping upside at 37°C. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office on August 12 will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日伦敦气温最高？
8月13日伦敦气温最高？
36°C 37%
35°C 32%
37°C 17%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
32%
36°C
37%
37°C
17%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 32%
37°C 17%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
30°C or below
$2,697 交易量
<1%
31°C
$729 交易量
<1%
32°C
$158 交易量
3%
33°C
$372 交易量
4%
34°C
$302 交易量
11%
35°C
$1,191 交易量
32%
36°C
$927 交易量
37%
37°C
$74 交易量
17%
38°C
$709 交易量
3%
39°C
$128 交易量
2%
40°C or higher
$67 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather point to a peak of 34–35°C in London on August 13 amid the fifth heatwave of summer 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds favoring strong daytime radiative heating. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, supporting the near-even market split between 35°C and 36°C implied probabilities while capping upside at 37°C. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office on August 12 will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$7,354结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather point to a peak of 34–35°C in London on August 13 amid the fifth heatwave of summer 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds favoring strong daytime radiative heating. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, supporting the near-even market split between 35°C and 36°C implied probabilities while capping upside at 37°C. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office on August 12 will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,354结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather point to a peak of 34–35°C in London on August 13 amid the fifth heatwave of summer 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds favoring strong daytime radiative heating. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, supporting the near-even market split between 35°C and 36°C implied probabilities while capping upside at 37°C. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office on August 12 will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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