Forecast models from MetService and international sources, including the Met Office, indicate a maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 13 amid moderating northerly flows following an early-month polar air intrusion. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (56.5%) and 14°C (24.5%), as traders price in near-average conditions for the date. Wellington’s August climatological daytime high sits near 13–14°C, with current guidance showing limited warming potential from transient high pressure and light winds. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures through the period, while ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out. Minor upward revisions in short-range runs could shift marginal probability toward 16°C if ridging strengthens.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月13日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 56%
14°C 25%
16°C 13%
13°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
25%
15°C
56%
16°C
13%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 56%
14°C 25%
16°C 13%
13°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
9°C or below
$429 交易量
<1%
10°C
$429 交易量
<1%
11°C
$207 交易量
1%
12°C
$253 交易量
1%
13°C
$313 交易量
4%
14°C
$636 交易量
25%
15°C
$729 交易量
56%
16°C
$884 交易量
13%
17°C
$208 交易量
3%
18°C
$83 交易量
1%
19°C or higher
$348 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international sources, including the Met Office, indicate a maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 13 amid moderating northerly flows following an early-month polar air intrusion. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (56.5%) and 14°C (24.5%), as traders price in near-average conditions for the date. Wellington’s August climatological daytime high sits near 13–14°C, with current guidance showing limited warming potential from transient high pressure and light winds. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures through the period, while ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out. Minor upward revisions in short-range runs could shift marginal probability toward 16°C if ridging strengthens.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$4,519结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international sources, including the Met Office, indicate a maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 13 amid moderating northerly flows following an early-month polar air intrusion. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (56.5%) and 14°C (24.5%), as traders price in near-average conditions for the date. Wellington’s August climatological daytime high sits near 13–14°C, with current guidance showing limited warming potential from transient high pressure and light winds. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures through the period, while ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out. Minor upward revisions in short-range runs could shift marginal probability toward 16°C if ridging strengthens.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,519结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETForecast models from MetService and international sources, including the Met Office, indicate a maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 13 amid moderating northerly flows following an early-month polar air intrusion. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (56.5%) and 14°C (24.5%), as traders price in near-average conditions for the date. Wellington’s August climatological daytime high sits near 13–14°C, with current guidance showing limited warming potential from transient high pressure and light winds. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures through the period, while ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out. Minor upward revisions in short-range runs could shift marginal probability toward 16°C if ridging strengthens.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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