Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to thunderstorms and showers on August 15, 2026, as the main driver keeping trader consensus centered on 34–35 °C. Subtropical summer conditions, sustained high humidity above 80 %, and frequent convective activity under the East Asian monsoon typically suppress maximum temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling, even as seasonal averages hover near 33–34 °C. Model spreads in timing and intensity of rain bands create the tight clustering between 34 °C (26.5 %) and 35 °C (28.5 %), with lower odds for 36 °C reflecting the cooling effect of expected precipitation. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日广州气温最高？
8月15日广州气温最高？
35°C 29%
34°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
27%
35°C
29%
36°C
19%
37°C
12%
38°C
1%
39°C或更高
3%
35°C 29%
34°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
29°C或以下
$17 交易量
<1%
30°C
$13 交易量
1%
31°C
$623 交易量
3%
32°C
$696 交易量
5%
33°C
$27 交易量
14%
34°C
$35 交易量
27%
35°C
$10 交易量
29%
36°C
$86 交易量
19%
37°C
$46 交易量
12%
38°C
$72 交易量
1%
39°C或更高
$10 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to thunderstorms and showers on August 15, 2026, as the main driver keeping trader consensus centered on 34–35 °C. Subtropical summer conditions, sustained high humidity above 80 %, and frequent convective activity under the East Asian monsoon typically suppress maximum temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling, even as seasonal averages hover near 33–34 °C. Model spreads in timing and intensity of rain bands create the tight clustering between 34 °C (26.5 %) and 35 °C (28.5 %), with lower odds for 36 °C reflecting the cooling effect of expected precipitation. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$1,635结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to thunderstorms and showers on August 15, 2026, as the main driver keeping trader consensus centered on 34–35 °C. Subtropical summer conditions, sustained high humidity above 80 %, and frequent convective activity under the East Asian monsoon typically suppress maximum temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling, even as seasonal averages hover near 33–34 °C. Model spreads in timing and intensity of rain bands create the tight clustering between 34 °C (26.5 %) and 35 °C (28.5 %), with lower odds for 36 °C reflecting the cooling effect of expected precipitation. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,635结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts for Guangzhou point to thunderstorms and showers on August 15, 2026, as the main driver keeping trader consensus centered on 34–35 °C. Subtropical summer conditions, sustained high humidity above 80 %, and frequent convective activity under the East Asian monsoon typically suppress maximum temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling, even as seasonal averages hover near 33–34 °C. Model spreads in timing and intensity of rain bands create the tight clustering between 34 °C (26.5 %) and 35 °C (28.5 %), with lower odds for 36 °C reflecting the cooling effect of expected precipitation. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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