Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a daytime maximum of 32°C for Busan on August 15 under cloudy skies with 30% precipitation chance, driven by persistent warm, humid flow along the western edge of the North Pacific High. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, as typical mid-August coastal conditions yield highs near the 30°C climatological average while scattered showers or sea breezes can cap peaks at 30–31°C. Model consensus remains stable in the 30–32°C range with limited disagreement, and no significant typhoon or anomalous cooling signals have emerged in the latest runs. Updated short-range guidance and official observations on the day will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日釜山气温最高?
31°C 37%
32°C 23%
30°C 20%
29°C 12%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
12%
30°C
20%
31°C
37%
32°C
23%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C或更高
1%
31°C 37%
32°C 23%
30°C 20%
29°C 12%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
12%
30°C
20%
31°C
37%
32°C
23%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a daytime maximum of 32°C for Busan on August 15 under cloudy skies with 30% precipitation chance, driven by persistent warm, humid flow along the western edge of the North Pacific High. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, as typical mid-August coastal conditions yield highs near the 30°C climatological average while scattered showers or sea breezes can cap peaks at 30–31°C. Model consensus remains stable in the 30–32°C range with limited disagreement, and no significant typhoon or anomalous cooling signals have emerged in the latest runs. Updated short-range guidance and official observations on the day will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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