Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for August 13 point to a Chicago high in the mid- to upper-70s°F, driven by moderating air mass behind earlier heat, modest southerly flow, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that limit peak insolation. The tight clustering around 74–79°F reflects modest forecast spread in timing of any convection and boundary-layer mixing, with historical August variability around 79°F providing context. Traders weigh the latest model updates and local mesonet trends ahead of the daily maximum observation at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥8月13日的最高温度？
芝加哥8月13日的最高温度？
76-77°F 37%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 23%
80-81°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 37%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 23%
80-81°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
67°F或以下
$167 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$29 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$69 交易量
6%
72-73°F
$138 交易量
5%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
24%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
32%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
23%
80-81°F
$193 交易量
9%
82-83°F
$22 交易量
3%
84-85°F
$53 交易量
2%
86°F或更高
$191 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for August 13 point to a Chicago high in the mid- to upper-70s°F, driven by moderating air mass behind earlier heat, modest southerly flow, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that limit peak insolation. The tight clustering around 74–79°F reflects modest forecast spread in timing of any convection and boundary-layer mixing, with historical August variability around 79°F providing context. Traders weigh the latest model updates and local mesonet trends ahead of the daily maximum observation at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$862结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for August 13 point to a Chicago high in the mid- to upper-70s°F, driven by moderating air mass behind earlier heat, modest southerly flow, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that limit peak insolation. The tight clustering around 74–79°F reflects modest forecast spread in timing of any convection and boundary-layer mixing, with historical August variability around 79°F providing context. Traders weigh the latest model updates and local mesonet trends ahead of the daily maximum observation at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$862结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for August 13 point to a Chicago high in the mid- to upper-70s°F, driven by moderating air mass behind earlier heat, modest southerly flow, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that limit peak insolation. The tight clustering around 74–79°F reflects modest forecast spread in timing of any convection and boundary-layer mixing, with historical August variability around 79°F providing context. Traders weigh the latest model updates and local mesonet trends ahead of the daily maximum observation at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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