Recent model consensus from NWS points to a typical late-August regime for Miami with highs near 91–92°F, following the easing of the mid-August heat wave that produced a record 100°F on the 18th. Afternoon Atlantic sea-breeze onset and scattered thunderstorm development are the dominant variables: earlier or stronger convection caps temperatures in the 90–91°F range by limiting insolation, while delayed breeze timing or reduced cloud cover allows readings to edge into the 92–93°F band. Historical August normals near 91°F and current guidance showing modest onshore flow reinforce the tight market split between these two leading bins. Updated NWS forecast discussions tomorrow morning will provide the clearest near-term signal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日迈阿密气温最高?
92-93°F 50%
90-91°F 44%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 6%
81°F or below
2%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
44%
92-93°F
50%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
2%
100°F或更高
2%
92-93°F 50%
90-91°F 44%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 6%
81°F or below
2%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
44%
92-93°F
50%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
2%
100°F或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from NWS points to a typical late-August regime for Miami with highs near 91–92°F, following the easing of the mid-August heat wave that produced a record 100°F on the 18th. Afternoon Atlantic sea-breeze onset and scattered thunderstorm development are the dominant variables: earlier or stronger convection caps temperatures in the 90–91°F range by limiting insolation, while delayed breeze timing or reduced cloud cover allows readings to edge into the 92–93°F band. Historical August normals near 91°F and current guidance showing modest onshore flow reinforce the tight market split between these two leading bins. Updated NWS forecast discussions tomorrow morning will provide the clearest near-term signal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题