The southwest monsoon’s moisture influx and associated cloud cover are positioning 34°C as the leading outcome for Karachi’s highest temperature on August 1, with market-implied odds reflecting short-range model consensus for modest day-to-day variability around the long-term August mean of 31–32°C. High humidity and potential scattered rainfall further suppress peak heating by limiting insolation, while above-normal seasonal temperature outlooks from the Pakistan Meteorological Department note only limited departures from climatology in southern Sindh. Forecast runs continue to cluster daily maxima between 33–35°C, keeping higher thresholds like 36°C or above at low implied probability absent a clear break in monsoon flow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日卡拉奇的最高温度?
34°C 44%
35°C 37%
33°C 12%
36°C 6%
$31,799 交易量
$31,799 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
12%
34°C
44%
35°C
37%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
1%
34°C 44%
35°C 37%
33°C 12%
36°C 6%
$31,799 交易量
$31,799 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
12%
34°C
44%
35°C
37%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 30, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The southwest monsoon’s moisture influx and associated cloud cover are positioning 34°C as the leading outcome for Karachi’s highest temperature on August 1, with market-implied odds reflecting short-range model consensus for modest day-to-day variability around the long-term August mean of 31–32°C. High humidity and potential scattered rainfall further suppress peak heating by limiting insolation, while above-normal seasonal temperature outlooks from the Pakistan Meteorological Department note only limited departures from climatology in southern Sindh. Forecast runs continue to cluster daily maxima between 33–35°C, keeping higher thresholds like 36°C or above at low implied probability absent a clear break in monsoon flow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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