**Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies show Beijing reaching a daily maximum of 33°C on September 5, 2026, under clear, sunny skies with light southerly winds and minimal humidity.** Afternoon readings stabilized near 32–33°C with no precipitation or significant cooling factors, aligning closely with historical early-September baselines for the region and eliminating lower-temperature outcomes. The near-100% market-implied probability on 33°C reflects traders incorporating live station data and short-range model runs that consistently resolve at this threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day shift, such as rapid cloud cover or a measurement discrepancy at official urban stations versus suburban sites, though current atmospheric stability makes such revisions unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日北京气温最高？
9月5日北京气温最高？
33°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$29,826 交易量
$29,826 交易量
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
33°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$29,826 交易量
$29,826 交易量
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
$535 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,385 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,560 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,418 交易量
<1%
32°C
$9,019 交易量
<1%
33°C
$5,170 交易量
100%
34°C
$5,388 交易量
<1%
35°C
$2,722 交易量
<1%
36°C
$637 交易量
<1%
37°C
$336 交易量
<1%
38°C或更高
$656 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies show Beijing reaching a daily maximum of 33°C on September 5, 2026, under clear, sunny skies with light southerly winds and minimal humidity.** Afternoon readings stabilized near 32–33°C with no precipitation or significant cooling factors, aligning closely with historical early-September baselines for the region and eliminating lower-temperature outcomes. The near-100% market-implied probability on 33°C reflects traders incorporating live station data and short-range model runs that consistently resolve at this threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day shift, such as rapid cloud cover or a measurement discrepancy at official urban stations versus suburban sites, though current atmospheric stability makes such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$29,826结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies show Beijing reaching a daily maximum of 33°C on September 5, 2026, under clear, sunny skies with light southerly winds and minimal humidity.** Afternoon readings stabilized near 32–33°C with no precipitation or significant cooling factors, aligning closely with historical early-September baselines for the region and eliminating lower-temperature outcomes. The near-100% market-implied probability on 33°C reflects traders incorporating live station data and short-range model runs that consistently resolve at this threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day shift, such as rapid cloud cover or a measurement discrepancy at official urban stations versus suburban sites, though current atmospheric stability makes such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,826结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies show Beijing reaching a daily maximum of 33°C on September 5, 2026, under clear, sunny skies with light southerly winds and minimal humidity.** Afternoon readings stabilized near 32–33°C with no precipitation or significant cooling factors, aligning closely with historical early-September baselines for the region and eliminating lower-temperature outcomes. The near-100% market-implied probability on 33°C reflects traders incorporating live station data and short-range model runs that consistently resolve at this threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day shift, such as rapid cloud cover or a measurement discrepancy at official urban stations versus suburban sites, though current atmospheric stability makes such revisions unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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