**Forecast models from major centers indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Beijing on September 6 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow.** This consensus arises from persistent high pressure promoting subsidence and clear conditions that enhance daytime solar heating, combined with advection of warmer air masses from the south. Current runs place the peak near or slightly above the 28.1°C climatological average for the date, with minimal precipitation risk supporting sustained warming. Trader positioning favoring 32°C reflects this guidance, while the close spread to 31°C highlights remaining uncertainty from model resolution differences, boundary-layer mixing, or exact timing of any cloud cover. Short-term updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined high-resolution runs will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日北京气温最高？
9月6日北京气温最高？
32°C 41%
31°C 33%
30°C 11%
33°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
26°C或以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
33%
32°C
41%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 33%
30°C 11%
33°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
26°C或以下
$235 交易量
<1%
27℃
$245 交易量
<1%
28°C
$392 交易量
2%
29°C
$252 交易量
5%
30°C
$812 交易量
11%
31°C
$1,564 交易量
33%
32°C
$695 交易量
41%
33°C
$293 交易量
9%
34°C
$390 交易量
2%
35°C
$52 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$217 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from major centers indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Beijing on September 6 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow.** This consensus arises from persistent high pressure promoting subsidence and clear conditions that enhance daytime solar heating, combined with advection of warmer air masses from the south. Current runs place the peak near or slightly above the 28.1°C climatological average for the date, with minimal precipitation risk supporting sustained warming. Trader positioning favoring 32°C reflects this guidance, while the close spread to 31°C highlights remaining uncertainty from model resolution differences, boundary-layer mixing, or exact timing of any cloud cover. Short-term updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined high-resolution runs will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$5,148结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from major centers indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Beijing on September 6 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow.** This consensus arises from persistent high pressure promoting subsidence and clear conditions that enhance daytime solar heating, combined with advection of warmer air masses from the south. Current runs place the peak near or slightly above the 28.1°C climatological average for the date, with minimal precipitation risk supporting sustained warming. Trader positioning favoring 32°C reflects this guidance, while the close spread to 31°C highlights remaining uncertainty from model resolution differences, boundary-layer mixing, or exact timing of any cloud cover. Short-term updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined high-resolution runs will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,148结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Forecast models from major centers indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Beijing on September 6 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow.** This consensus arises from persistent high pressure promoting subsidence and clear conditions that enhance daytime solar heating, combined with advection of warmer air masses from the south. Current runs place the peak near or slightly above the 28.1°C climatological average for the date, with minimal precipitation risk supporting sustained warming. Trader positioning favoring 32°C reflects this guidance, while the close spread to 31°C highlights remaining uncertainty from model resolution differences, boundary-layer mixing, or exact timing of any cloud cover. Short-term updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined high-resolution runs will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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