Current forecasts for Beijing's September 5 maximum cluster tightly around 32–34°C amid clear to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation chances, supporting the near-even market split between 33°C (47.5%) and 34°C (46%). Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance lists 32°C, while several international models and observational updates project 33–34°C due to strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud interference. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, or local heat retention under a stable ridge explain the tight probability distribution, with resolution hinging on the verified daily peak from authoritative station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日北京气温最高？
9月5日北京气温最高？
33°C 52%
34°C 45%
32°C 6%
35°C 2%
$19,616 交易量
$19,616 交易量
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
6%
33°C
52%
34°C
45%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
33°C 52%
34°C 45%
32°C 6%
35°C 2%
$19,616 交易量
$19,616 交易量
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
$535 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,380 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,555 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,318 交易量
<1%
32°C
$4,896 交易量
6%
33°C
$2,145 交易量
52%
34°C
$2,989 交易量
45%
35°C
$2,463 交易量
2%
36°C
$637 交易量
<1%
37°C
$336 交易量
<1%
38°C或更高
$656 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Beijing's September 5 maximum cluster tightly around 32–34°C amid clear to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation chances, supporting the near-even market split between 33°C (47.5%) and 34°C (46%). Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance lists 32°C, while several international models and observational updates project 33–34°C due to strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud interference. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, or local heat retention under a stable ridge explain the tight probability distribution, with resolution hinging on the verified daily peak from authoritative station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$19,616结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Beijing's September 5 maximum cluster tightly around 32–34°C amid clear to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation chances, supporting the near-even market split between 33°C (47.5%) and 34°C (46%). Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance lists 32°C, while several international models and observational updates project 33–34°C due to strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud interference. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, or local heat retention under a stable ridge explain the tight probability distribution, with resolution hinging on the verified daily peak from authoritative station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,616结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecasts for Beijing's September 5 maximum cluster tightly around 32–34°C amid clear to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation chances, supporting the near-even market split between 33°C (47.5%) and 34°C (46%). Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance lists 32°C, while several international models and observational updates project 33–34°C due to strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud interference. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, or local heat retention under a stable ridge explain the tight probability distribution, with resolution hinging on the verified daily peak from authoritative station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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