Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas are sustaining hot, humid conditions for Austin on August 14, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on a daily maximum near 99–101°F. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where the seasonal average high reaches 99°F, supporting the market’s dominant implied probabilities on 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (35.5%). Minor variations in model depictions of cloud cover, weak disturbances, or boundary-layer mixing introduce the smaller chance assigned to 100–101°F (11.5%). Overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide the primary updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月14日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 36%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
36%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
12%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106华氏度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 36%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
87°F or below
$190 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$125 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$113 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$300 交易量
3%
94-95°F
$161 交易量
6%
96-97°F
$118 交易量
36%
98-99°F
$741 交易量
45%
100-101°F
$126 交易量
12%
102-103°F
$39 交易量
3%
104-105°F
$195 交易量
2%
106华氏度或更高
$496 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas are sustaining hot, humid conditions for Austin on August 14, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on a daily maximum near 99–101°F. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where the seasonal average high reaches 99°F, supporting the market’s dominant implied probabilities on 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (35.5%). Minor variations in model depictions of cloud cover, weak disturbances, or boundary-layer mixing introduce the smaller chance assigned to 100–101°F (11.5%). Overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide the primary updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,604结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas are sustaining hot, humid conditions for Austin on August 14, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on a daily maximum near 99–101°F. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where the seasonal average high reaches 99°F, supporting the market’s dominant implied probabilities on 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (35.5%). Minor variations in model depictions of cloud cover, weak disturbances, or boundary-layer mixing introduce the smaller chance assigned to 100–101°F (11.5%). Overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide the primary updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,604结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETPersistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas are sustaining hot, humid conditions for Austin on August 14, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on a daily maximum near 99–101°F. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where the seasonal average high reaches 99°F, supporting the market’s dominant implied probabilities on 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (35.5%). Minor variations in model depictions of cloud cover, weak disturbances, or boundary-layer mixing introduce the smaller chance assigned to 100–101°F (11.5%). Overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide the primary updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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