Incumbent Republican Russell Fry enters the November 2026 general election for South Carolina’s 7th congressional district as the clear frontrunner, backed by the seat’s R+12 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with primaries canceled after single candidates qualified on each side, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent. Fry’s fundraising lead exceeding $1.4 million and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 95-plus percent implied probability for a Republican hold. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national midterm shifts favoring Democrats, late-breaking scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$36,963 交易量
$36,963 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
96%
民主黨
6%
$36,963 交易量
$36,963 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$21,328 交易量
96%
民主黨
$15,635 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry enters the November 2026 general election for South Carolina’s 7th congressional district as the clear frontrunner, backed by the seat’s R+12 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with primaries canceled after single candidates qualified on each side, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent. Fry’s fundraising lead exceeding $1.4 million and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 95-plus percent implied probability for a Republican hold. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national midterm shifts favoring Democrats, late-breaking scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$36,963結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry enters the November 2026 general election for South Carolina’s 7th congressional district as the clear frontrunner, backed by the seat’s R+12 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with primaries canceled after single candidates qualified on each side, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent. Fry’s fundraising lead exceeding $1.4 million and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 95-plus percent implied probability for a Republican hold. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national midterm shifts favoring Democrats, late-breaking scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,963結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Republican Russell Fry enters the November 2026 general election for South Carolina’s 7th congressional district as the clear frontrunner, backed by the seat’s R+12 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with primaries canceled after single candidates qualified on each side, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent. Fry’s fundraising lead exceeding $1.4 million and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 95-plus percent implied probability for a Republican hold. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national midterm shifts favoring Democrats, late-breaking scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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