South Carolina's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent wide margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Sheri Biggs, who captured 71.7% in 2024, secured her party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Eunice Lehmacher emerged from a contested primary facing limited resources and structural barriers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning trader consensus at 94.5% Republican probability with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually large national Democratic midterm surge, an incumbent withdrawal, or late-cycle developments that alter turnout or candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$45,281 交易量
$45,281 交易量
共和黨
95%
民主黨
5%
$45,281 交易量
$45,281 交易量
共和黨
95%
民主黨
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
South Carolina's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent wide margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Sheri Biggs, who captured 71.7% in 2024, secured her party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Eunice Lehmacher emerged from a contested primary facing limited resources and structural barriers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning trader consensus at 94.5% Republican probability with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually large national Democratic midterm surge, an incumbent withdrawal, or late-cycle developments that alter turnout or candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions