North Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean rooted in statewide voting patterns, partisan registration, and limited Democratic organizational infrastructure. Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured renomination in the June primary and faces Democratic-NPL challenger Trygve Hammer in the November general election, a rematch of the 2024 contest that Fedorchak won decisively. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or late shifts that would elevate Democratic prospects. A realistic path for Democrats would require an unusually large national midterm swing, major GOP scandal, or sharp decline in Republican turnout, though historical margins and fundraising gaps indicate substantial hurdles to overcoming the current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$53,719 交易量
$53,719 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
95%
民主黨
5%
$53,719 交易量
$53,719 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$36,937 交易量
95%
民主黨
$16,783 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean rooted in statewide voting patterns, partisan registration, and limited Democratic organizational infrastructure. Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured renomination in the June primary and faces Democratic-NPL challenger Trygve Hammer in the November general election, a rematch of the 2024 contest that Fedorchak won decisively. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or late shifts that would elevate Democratic prospects. A realistic path for Democrats would require an unusually large national midterm swing, major GOP scandal, or sharp decline in Republican turnout, though historical margins and fundraising gaps indicate substantial hurdles to overcoming the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$53,719結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean rooted in statewide voting patterns, partisan registration, and limited Democratic organizational infrastructure. Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured renomination in the June primary and faces Democratic-NPL challenger Trygve Hammer in the November general election, a rematch of the 2024 contest that Fedorchak won decisively. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or late shifts that would elevate Democratic prospects. A realistic path for Democrats would require an unusually large national midterm swing, major GOP scandal, or sharp decline in Republican turnout, though historical margins and fundraising gaps indicate substantial hurdles to overcoming the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$53,719結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNorth Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean rooted in statewide voting patterns, partisan registration, and limited Democratic organizational infrastructure. Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak secured renomination in the June primary and faces Democratic-NPL challenger Trygve Hammer in the November general election, a rematch of the 2024 contest that Fedorchak won decisively. Forecasters across outlets rate the race solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or late shifts that would elevate Democratic prospects. A realistic path for Democrats would require an unusually large national midterm swing, major GOP scandal, or sharp decline in Republican turnout, though historical margins and fundraising gaps indicate substantial hurdles to overcoming the current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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