Incumbent Democrat Nellie Pou holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 90.8% implied probability of victory. Pou secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the June primary, benefits from substantial fundraising and cash reserves exceeding her Republican opponent, and draws support from established labor endorsements. The district carries a modest Democratic lean and receives Likely Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Republican nominee Rosemary Pino won a competitive primary but trails significantly in resources. A shift in national political conditions, unusually high Republican turnout in key counties, or late developments affecting voter mobilization could narrow the margin, though structural advantages favor the incumbent heading into the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$22,232 交易量
$22,232 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
$22,232 交易量
$22,232 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$11,438 交易量
91%
Republican Party
$10,794 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nellie Pou holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 90.8% implied probability of victory. Pou secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the June primary, benefits from substantial fundraising and cash reserves exceeding her Republican opponent, and draws support from established labor endorsements. The district carries a modest Democratic lean and receives Likely Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Republican nominee Rosemary Pino won a competitive primary but trails significantly in resources. A shift in national political conditions, unusually high Republican turnout in key counties, or late developments affecting voter mobilization could narrow the margin, though structural advantages favor the incumbent heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ET
交易量
$22,232結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nellie Pou holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 90.8% implied probability of victory. Pou secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the June primary, benefits from substantial fundraising and cash reserves exceeding her Republican opponent, and draws support from established labor endorsements. The district carries a modest Democratic lean and receives Likely Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Republican nominee Rosemary Pino won a competitive primary but trails significantly in resources. A shift in national political conditions, unusually high Republican turnout in key counties, or late developments affecting voter mobilization could narrow the margin, though structural advantages favor the incumbent heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,232結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETIncumbent Democrat Nellie Pou holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 9th congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 90.8% implied probability of victory. Pou secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the June primary, benefits from substantial fundraising and cash reserves exceeding her Republican opponent, and draws support from established labor endorsements. The district carries a modest Democratic lean and receives Likely Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Republican nominee Rosemary Pino won a competitive primary but trails significantly in resources. A shift in national political conditions, unusually high Republican turnout in key counties, or late developments affecting voter mobilization could narrow the margin, though structural advantages favor the incumbent heading into the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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