Incumbent Democrat Marilyn Strickland’s strong performance in Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary, combined with the district’s D+9 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring her party in the November general election against Republican Chris Chung. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Strickland’s fundraising edge and the absence of significant post-primary developments that might alter the matchup. The top-two system produced a straightforward general-election contest, limiting upside for the Republican nominee. Late-cycle polling shifts, unforeseen scandals, or major national events could still influence final margins before November 3, though structural factors make a reversal improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$31,480 交易量
$31,480 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$31,480 交易量
$31,480 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
$17,558 交易量
95%
Republican Party
$13,922 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marilyn Strickland’s strong performance in Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary, combined with the district’s D+9 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring her party in the November general election against Republican Chris Chung. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Strickland’s fundraising edge and the absence of significant post-primary developments that might alter the matchup. The top-two system produced a straightforward general-election contest, limiting upside for the Republican nominee. Late-cycle polling shifts, unforeseen scandals, or major national events could still influence final margins before November 3, though structural factors make a reversal improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$31,480結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marilyn Strickland’s strong performance in Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary, combined with the district’s D+9 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring her party in the November general election against Republican Chris Chung. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Strickland’s fundraising edge and the absence of significant post-primary developments that might alter the matchup. The top-two system produced a straightforward general-election contest, limiting upside for the Republican nominee. Late-cycle polling shifts, unforeseen scandals, or major national events could still influence final margins before November 3, though structural factors make a reversal improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,480結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Marilyn Strickland’s strong performance in Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary, combined with the district’s D+9 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring her party in the November general election against Republican Chris Chung. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Strickland’s fundraising edge and the absence of significant post-primary developments that might alter the matchup. The top-two system produced a straightforward general-election contest, limiting upside for the Republican nominee. Late-cycle polling shifts, unforeseen scandals, or major national events could still influence final margins before November 3, though structural factors make a reversal improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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