Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district has remained under Democratic control since 1994, with the seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters due to its partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Seth Magaziner. The current trader consensus around 94% probability for a Democratic winner reflects this established baseline, limited Republican field strength ahead of the September primaries, and absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the general election outlook. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment for the party, an unexpected primary outcome producing a more competitive challenger, or a significant late development such as a scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$23,777 交易量
$23,777 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
7%
$23,777 交易量
$23,777 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$16,453 交易量
94%
共和黨
$7,324 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district has remained under Democratic control since 1994, with the seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters due to its partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Seth Magaziner. The current trader consensus around 94% probability for a Democratic winner reflects this established baseline, limited Republican field strength ahead of the September primaries, and absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the general election outlook. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment for the party, an unexpected primary outcome producing a more competitive challenger, or a significant late development such as a scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$23,777結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district has remained under Democratic control since 1994, with the seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters due to its partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Seth Magaziner. The current trader consensus around 94% probability for a Democratic winner reflects this established baseline, limited Republican field strength ahead of the September primaries, and absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the general election outlook. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment for the party, an unexpected primary outcome producing a more competitive challenger, or a significant late development such as a scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,777結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district has remained under Democratic control since 1994, with the seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters due to its partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Seth Magaziner. The current trader consensus around 94% probability for a Democratic winner reflects this established baseline, limited Republican field strength ahead of the September primaries, and absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the general election outlook. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment for the party, an unexpected primary outcome producing a more competitive challenger, or a significant late development such as a scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions