Florida's 14th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeking another term against Republican nominee Mike Beltran in the November 3 general election. Recent mid-decade redistricting shifted the seat rightward, with former President Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024, yet a July poll showed Castor leading Beltran 46% to 38%. The August 18 primaries concluded with Castor advancing unopposed on the Democratic side and Beltran securing the Republican nomination, solidifying the matchup. Traders appear to weigh Castor's long incumbency, fundraising edge, and established voter base against the altered partisan lean and national midterm dynamics, producing the current implied probabilities. No major new developments have emerged in the days since the primaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$33,429 交易量
$33,429 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
66%
共和黨
33%
$33,429 交易量
$33,429 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$17,206 交易量
66%
共和黨
$16,223 交易量
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeking another term against Republican nominee Mike Beltran in the November 3 general election. Recent mid-decade redistricting shifted the seat rightward, with former President Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024, yet a July poll showed Castor leading Beltran 46% to 38%. The August 18 primaries concluded with Castor advancing unopposed on the Democratic side and Beltran securing the Republican nomination, solidifying the matchup. Traders appear to weigh Castor's long incumbency, fundraising edge, and established voter base against the altered partisan lean and national midterm dynamics, producing the current implied probabilities. No major new developments have emerged in the days since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$33,429結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeking another term against Republican nominee Mike Beltran in the November 3 general election. Recent mid-decade redistricting shifted the seat rightward, with former President Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024, yet a July poll showed Castor leading Beltran 46% to 38%. The August 18 primaries concluded with Castor advancing unopposed on the Democratic side and Beltran securing the Republican nomination, solidifying the matchup. Traders appear to weigh Castor's long incumbency, fundraising edge, and established voter base against the altered partisan lean and national midterm dynamics, producing the current implied probabilities. No major new developments have emerged in the days since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,429結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 14th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeking another term against Republican nominee Mike Beltran in the November 3 general election. Recent mid-decade redistricting shifted the seat rightward, with former President Trump carrying it by double digits in 2024, yet a July poll showed Castor leading Beltran 46% to 38%. The August 18 primaries concluded with Castor advancing unopposed on the Democratic side and Beltran securing the Republican nomination, solidifying the matchup. Traders appear to weigh Castor's long incumbency, fundraising edge, and established voter base against the altered partisan lean and national midterm dynamics, producing the current implied probabilities. No major new developments have emerged in the days since the primaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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