The TX-14 seat's strong Republican positioning stems from its R+12 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in presidential and Senate voting, combined with incumbent Randy Weber's decisive primary win and the district's Southeast Texas base anchored in Galveston and surrounding counties. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, and Decision Desk HQ have maintained Safe or Solid Republican ratings through August 2026, aligning with Weber's substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Thurman Bill Bartie, who emerged from a low-turnout May runoff. Limited recent developments have reinforced trader consensus around the status quo, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins in this November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$17,518 交易量
$17,518 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
93%
民主黨
7%
$17,518 交易量
$17,518 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$5,825 交易量
93%
民主黨
$11,693 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-14 seat's strong Republican positioning stems from its R+12 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in presidential and Senate voting, combined with incumbent Randy Weber's decisive primary win and the district's Southeast Texas base anchored in Galveston and surrounding counties. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, and Decision Desk HQ have maintained Safe or Solid Republican ratings through August 2026, aligning with Weber's substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Thurman Bill Bartie, who emerged from a low-turnout May runoff. Limited recent developments have reinforced trader consensus around the status quo, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins in this November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$17,518結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-14 seat's strong Republican positioning stems from its R+12 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in presidential and Senate voting, combined with incumbent Randy Weber's decisive primary win and the district's Southeast Texas base anchored in Galveston and surrounding counties. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, and Decision Desk HQ have maintained Safe or Solid Republican ratings through August 2026, aligning with Weber's substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Thurman Bill Bartie, who emerged from a low-turnout May runoff. Limited recent developments have reinforced trader consensus around the status quo, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins in this November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,518結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-14 seat's strong Republican positioning stems from its R+12 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in presidential and Senate voting, combined with incumbent Randy Weber's decisive primary win and the district's Southeast Texas base anchored in Galveston and surrounding counties. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, and Decision Desk HQ have maintained Safe or Solid Republican ratings through August 2026, aligning with Weber's substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Thurman Bill Bartie, who emerged from a low-turnout May runoff. Limited recent developments have reinforced trader consensus around the status quo, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins in this November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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