The heavily Republican tilt of Texas's 13th congressional district, anchored in the Panhandle and carried by Donald Trump by more than 34 points in the prior cycle, underpins the Republican Party's 94.5% market consensus for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the March primary and faces Democratic nominee Mark Nair in a seat rated Solid Republican across nonpartisan forecasting outlets. Low Democratic fundraising and turnout potential in this rural, conservative district further reinforce trader expectations. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment, significant Republican candidate vulnerabilities on issues such as scandals or health events, or unusual shifts in early or absentee voting patterns, though historical base rates and current polling fundamentals suggest limited near-term movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$16,893 交易量
$16,893 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
95%
民主黨
6%
$16,893 交易量
$16,893 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$3,466 交易量
95%
民主黨
$13,428 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Republican tilt of Texas's 13th congressional district, anchored in the Panhandle and carried by Donald Trump by more than 34 points in the prior cycle, underpins the Republican Party's 94.5% market consensus for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the March primary and faces Democratic nominee Mark Nair in a seat rated Solid Republican across nonpartisan forecasting outlets. Low Democratic fundraising and turnout potential in this rural, conservative district further reinforce trader expectations. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment, significant Republican candidate vulnerabilities on issues such as scandals or health events, or unusual shifts in early or absentee voting patterns, though historical base rates and current polling fundamentals suggest limited near-term movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$16,893結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Republican tilt of Texas's 13th congressional district, anchored in the Panhandle and carried by Donald Trump by more than 34 points in the prior cycle, underpins the Republican Party's 94.5% market consensus for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the March primary and faces Democratic nominee Mark Nair in a seat rated Solid Republican across nonpartisan forecasting outlets. Low Democratic fundraising and turnout potential in this rural, conservative district further reinforce trader expectations. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment, significant Republican candidate vulnerabilities on issues such as scandals or health events, or unusual shifts in early or absentee voting patterns, though historical base rates and current polling fundamentals suggest limited near-term movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,893結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Republican tilt of Texas's 13th congressional district, anchored in the Panhandle and carried by Donald Trump by more than 34 points in the prior cycle, underpins the Republican Party's 94.5% market consensus for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the March primary and faces Democratic nominee Mark Nair in a seat rated Solid Republican across nonpartisan forecasting outlets. Low Democratic fundraising and turnout potential in this rural, conservative district further reinforce trader expectations. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment, significant Republican candidate vulnerabilities on issues such as scandals or health events, or unusual shifts in early or absentee voting patterns, though historical base rates and current polling fundamentals suggest limited near-term movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions