Recent MetService and ensemble model runs point to a mild winter night in Wellington on August 26, with northwesterly winds and variable cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling and keep the minimum near 11–13 °C. Stronger gusts and patchy showers may further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 10 °C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 11–14 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer conditions rather than any single dominant signal, with updated high-resolution runs and local observations the next key inputs likely to narrow the range before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
8月26日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
12°C 36%
13°C 29%
11°C 27%
14°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
8%
10°C
13%
11°C
27%
12°C
36%
13°C
29%
14°C
26%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C或以上
2%
12°C 36%
13°C 29%
11°C 27%
14°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
8°C或以下
$15 交易量
1%
9°C
$55 交易量
8%
10°C
$10 交易量
13%
11°C
$0 交易量
27%
12°C
$0 交易量
36%
13°C
$0 交易量
29%
14°C
$0 交易量
26%
15°C
$85 交易量
2%
16°C
$5 交易量
1%
17°C
$15 交易量
3%
18°C或以上
$145 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and ensemble model runs point to a mild winter night in Wellington on August 26, with northwesterly winds and variable cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling and keep the minimum near 11–13 °C. Stronger gusts and patchy showers may further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 10 °C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 11–14 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer conditions rather than any single dominant signal, with updated high-resolution runs and local observations the next key inputs likely to narrow the range before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$330結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and ensemble model runs point to a mild winter night in Wellington on August 26, with northwesterly winds and variable cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling and keep the minimum near 11–13 °C. Stronger gusts and patchy showers may further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 10 °C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 11–14 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer conditions rather than any single dominant signal, with updated high-resolution runs and local observations the next key inputs likely to narrow the range before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$330結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent MetService and ensemble model runs point to a mild winter night in Wellington on August 26, with northwesterly winds and variable cloud cover expected to limit radiative cooling and keep the minimum near 11–13 °C. Stronger gusts and patchy showers may further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 10 °C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 11–14 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread in boundary-layer conditions rather than any single dominant signal, with updated high-resolution runs and local observations the next key inputs likely to narrow the range before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions