Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate sunny skies and southwest winds of 10-15 mph for Los Angeles on August 24, supporting afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 90s at inland sites while coastal marine layer effects could moderate readings near official stations. Trader consensus clustering on 82-85°F outcomes reflects historical climatology—where the 1991-2020 average high sits near 77°F—along with uncertainty over exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day onshore flow that might cap peaks below model consensus. Updated short-range forecasts and hourly observations through the morning will refine these differentials ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月24日的最高溫度?
82-83華氏度 36%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 10%
$12,352 交易量
$12,352 交易量
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
15%
82-83華氏度
36%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
華氏94度或更高
<1%
82-83華氏度 36%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 10%
$12,352 交易量
$12,352 交易量
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
15%
82-83華氏度
36%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
華氏94度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate sunny skies and southwest winds of 10-15 mph for Los Angeles on August 24, supporting afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 90s at inland sites while coastal marine layer effects could moderate readings near official stations. Trader consensus clustering on 82-85°F outcomes reflects historical climatology—where the 1991-2020 average high sits near 77°F—along with uncertainty over exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day onshore flow that might cap peaks below model consensus. Updated short-range forecasts and hourly observations through the morning will refine these differentials ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions