Recent forecasts from MetService and other models indicate a mild overnight period for Wellington on August 25, driven by northerly to northwesterly winds advecting warmer maritime air under a building high-pressure ridge. These conditions limit radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 11–12°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that could enhance or suppress heat loss, minor shifts in wind speed through Cook Strait, and any late shower timing. Historical August averages feature lower minima, but current patterns reflect above-normal temperatures amid neutral ENSO influences. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will clarify any adjustments from these baselines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
8月25日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
8°C or below 39%
18°C or higher 39%
12°C 35%
13°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
8°C or below
39%
9°C
27%
10°C
23%
11°C
29%
12°C
35%
13°C
30%
14°C
24%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
39%
8°C or below 39%
18°C or higher 39%
12°C 35%
13°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
8°C or below
$5 交易量
39%
9°C
$0 交易量
27%
10°C
$0 交易量
23%
11°C
$0 交易量
29%
12°C
$0 交易量
35%
13°C
$0 交易量
30%
14°C
$1 交易量
24%
15°C
$5 交易量
1%
16°C
$5 交易量
7%
17°C
$5 交易量
1%
18°C or higher
$5 交易量
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other models indicate a mild overnight period for Wellington on August 25, driven by northerly to northwesterly winds advecting warmer maritime air under a building high-pressure ridge. These conditions limit radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 11–12°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that could enhance or suppress heat loss, minor shifts in wind speed through Cook Strait, and any late shower timing. Historical August averages feature lower minima, but current patterns reflect above-normal temperatures amid neutral ENSO influences. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will clarify any adjustments from these baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$26結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other models indicate a mild overnight period for Wellington on August 25, driven by northerly to northwesterly winds advecting warmer maritime air under a building high-pressure ridge. These conditions limit radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 11–12°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that could enhance or suppress heat loss, minor shifts in wind speed through Cook Strait, and any late shower timing. Historical August averages feature lower minima, but current patterns reflect above-normal temperatures amid neutral ENSO influences. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will clarify any adjustments from these baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from MetService and other models indicate a mild overnight period for Wellington on August 25, driven by northerly to northwesterly winds advecting warmer maritime air under a building high-pressure ridge. These conditions limit radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 11–12°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that could enhance or suppress heat loss, minor shifts in wind speed through Cook Strait, and any late shower timing. Historical August averages feature lower minima, but current patterns reflect above-normal temperatures amid neutral ENSO influences. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will clarify any adjustments from these baselines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions