Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a marine layer with morning low clouds and fog clearing to sunny conditions across Los Angeles on August 26, supporting highs in the lower to mid-80s near the coast while allowing stronger heating farther inland amid the ongoing Southern California heat wave. Official model consensus points to afternoon temperatures moderated by southwest winds around 15 mph and typical August climatology near 77–85°F, creating tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 82–87°F bins as traders weigh coastal versus broader county measurement criteria. The extreme heat warning through midweek adds upside potential if the inversion layer weakens, though persistent onshore flow introduces downside risk for coastal stations. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely refine these outcomes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月26日的最高溫度?
84-85°F 46%
86-87°F 46%
82-83°F 19%
80-81°F 17%
79°F or below
15%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
46%
86-87°F
46%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
5%
華氏98度或更高
7%
84-85°F 46%
86-87°F 46%
82-83°F 19%
80-81°F 17%
79°F or below
15%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
46%
86-87°F
46%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
5%
華氏98度或更高
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a marine layer with morning low clouds and fog clearing to sunny conditions across Los Angeles on August 26, supporting highs in the lower to mid-80s near the coast while allowing stronger heating farther inland amid the ongoing Southern California heat wave. Official model consensus points to afternoon temperatures moderated by southwest winds around 15 mph and typical August climatology near 77–85°F, creating tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 82–87°F bins as traders weigh coastal versus broader county measurement criteria. The extreme heat warning through midweek adds upside potential if the inversion layer weakens, though persistent onshore flow introduces downside risk for coastal stations. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely refine these outcomes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions