Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability to a daily minimum of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 23 because official and model forecasts consistently project overnight lows of 26–29°C amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, southerly flow, and daytime highs near 35°C prevent significant radiational cooling, keeping temperatures well above the long-term August average low of roughly 22°C. Recent model runs from regional meteorological centers show no incoming cold fronts or unusual subsidence that would drive sharper drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of northerly air or clear-sky radiative cooling exceeding current guidance, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日濟南最低氣溫？
8月23日濟南最低氣溫？
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$2,129 交易量
$2,129 交易量
2026-08-23
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
Yes
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$2,129 交易量
$2,129 交易量
2026-08-23
12°C or below
$125 交易量
No
13°C
$137 交易量
No
14°C
$125 交易量
No
15°C
$135 交易量
No
16°C
$220 交易量
No
17°C
$126 交易量
No
18°C
$130 交易量
No
19°C
$115 交易量
No
20°C
$130 交易量
No
21°C
$307 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$579 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability to a daily minimum of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 23 because official and model forecasts consistently project overnight lows of 26–29°C amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, southerly flow, and daytime highs near 35°C prevent significant radiational cooling, keeping temperatures well above the long-term August average low of roughly 22°C. Recent model runs from regional meteorological centers show no incoming cold fronts or unusual subsidence that would drive sharper drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of northerly air or clear-sky radiative cooling exceeding current guidance, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,129結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability to a daily minimum of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 23 because official and model forecasts consistently project overnight lows of 26–29°C amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, southerly flow, and daytime highs near 35°C prevent significant radiational cooling, keeping temperatures well above the long-term August average low of roughly 22°C. Recent model runs from regional meteorological centers show no incoming cold fronts or unusual subsidence that would drive sharper drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of northerly air or clear-sky radiative cooling exceeding current guidance, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,129結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability to a daily minimum of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 23 because official and model forecasts consistently project overnight lows of 26–29°C amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, southerly flow, and daytime highs near 35°C prevent significant radiational cooling, keeping temperatures well above the long-term August average low of roughly 22°C. Recent model runs from regional meteorological centers show no incoming cold fronts or unusual subsidence that would drive sharper drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of northerly air or clear-sky radiative cooling exceeding current guidance, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions