Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a potential high near 35°C for Tokyo on August 26 amid an above-normal summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific High, though model spreads and possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers introduce meaningful uncertainty. Official observations typically reflect the urban heat island effect and localized sea breezes, which can cap or elevate peaks relative to broader regional guidance. With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly around 31–33°C, traders appear focused on the narrow window between baseline climatology near 32°C and modest intensification risks, while awaiting the next suite of high-resolution model runs and updated JMA three-day outlooks to refine resolution probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日東京氣溫最高？
8月26日東京氣溫最高？
35°C 33%
34°C 32%
33°C 19%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
12%
33°C
19%
34°C
32%
35°C
30%
36°C
11%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 33%
34°C 32%
33°C 19%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
28°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$0 交易量
1%
30°C
$5 交易量
4%
31°C
$0 交易量
7%
32°C
$0 交易量
12%
33°C
$5 交易量
19%
34°C
$23 交易量
32%
35°C
$5 交易量
30%
36°C
$11 交易量
11%
37°C
$0 交易量
3%
38°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a potential high near 35°C for Tokyo on August 26 amid an above-normal summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific High, though model spreads and possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers introduce meaningful uncertainty. Official observations typically reflect the urban heat island effect and localized sea breezes, which can cap or elevate peaks relative to broader regional guidance. With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly around 31–33°C, traders appear focused on the narrow window between baseline climatology near 32°C and modest intensification risks, while awaiting the next suite of high-resolution model runs and updated JMA three-day outlooks to refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$49結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a potential high near 35°C for Tokyo on August 26 amid an above-normal summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific High, though model spreads and possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers introduce meaningful uncertainty. Official observations typically reflect the urban heat island effect and localized sea breezes, which can cap or elevate peaks relative to broader regional guidance. With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly around 31–33°C, traders appear focused on the narrow window between baseline climatology near 32°C and modest intensification risks, while awaiting the next suite of high-resolution model runs and updated JMA three-day outlooks to refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$49結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a potential high near 35°C for Tokyo on August 26 amid an above-normal summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific High, though model spreads and possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers introduce meaningful uncertainty. Official observations typically reflect the urban heat island effect and localized sea breezes, which can cap or elevate peaks relative to broader regional guidance. With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly around 31–33°C, traders appear focused on the narrow window between baseline climatology near 32°C and modest intensification risks, while awaiting the next suite of high-resolution model runs and updated JMA three-day outlooks to refine resolution probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions