**Latest forecast models and real-time observations from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a daily maximum temperature of exactly 15°C in Buenos Aires on August 17, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome.** A cold front arriving from the southwest has stabilized temperatures after slightly warmer prior days, aligning with typical mid-August climatology where highs average near 15–17°C. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this peak, with minimal spread supporting trader consensus backed by real capital. Minor uncertainties in exact hourly peaks or micro-site variations could theoretically allow 14°C or 16°C, though current data and resolution criteria make such shifts unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
15°C 99.8%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
$22,704 交易量
$22,704 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.8%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
$22,704 交易量
$22,704 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Latest forecast models and real-time observations from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a daily maximum temperature of exactly 15°C in Buenos Aires on August 17, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome.** A cold front arriving from the southwest has stabilized temperatures after slightly warmer prior days, aligning with typical mid-August climatology where highs average near 15–17°C. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this peak, with minimal spread supporting trader consensus backed by real capital. Minor uncertainties in exact hourly peaks or micro-site variations could theoretically allow 14°C or 16°C, though current data and resolution criteria make such shifts unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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