Forecast consensus from KNMI and Met Office models supports the near-certain 21°C market outcome for Amsterdam’s daily maximum on August 17, driven by post-heatwave cooling, a northwest airflow bringing cooler North Sea air, and extensive cloud cover with light showers that limit solar heating. Current observations and model runs show daytime peaks stabilizing near 20–21°C, well below August climatological averages in the mid-20s. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric conditions and official guidance through the resolution window. An unexpected rapid clearing of clouds or stronger southerly flow could allow brief warming to 22°C or above, though such shifts remain low-probability given the entrenched marine influence and persistent overcast.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月17日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$85,264 交易量
$85,264 交易量
2026-08-17
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或以上
否
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$85,264 交易量
$85,264 交易量
2026-08-17
16°C or below
$527 交易量
No
17°C
$6,639 交易量
No
18°C
$5,561 交易量
No
19°C
$9,447 交易量
No
20°C
$22,331 交易量
否
21°C
$14,278 交易量
是
22°C
$11,965 交易量
否
23°C
$10,971 交易量
否
24°C
$2,334 交易量
否
25°C
$557 交易量
否
26°C或以上
$654 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from KNMI and Met Office models supports the near-certain 21°C market outcome for Amsterdam’s daily maximum on August 17, driven by post-heatwave cooling, a northwest airflow bringing cooler North Sea air, and extensive cloud cover with light showers that limit solar heating. Current observations and model runs show daytime peaks stabilizing near 20–21°C, well below August climatological averages in the mid-20s. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric conditions and official guidance through the resolution window. An unexpected rapid clearing of clouds or stronger southerly flow could allow brief warming to 22°C or above, though such shifts remain low-probability given the entrenched marine influence and persistent overcast.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
交易量
$85,264結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from KNMI and Met Office models supports the near-certain 21°C market outcome for Amsterdam’s daily maximum on August 17, driven by post-heatwave cooling, a northwest airflow bringing cooler North Sea air, and extensive cloud cover with light showers that limit solar heating. Current observations and model runs show daytime peaks stabilizing near 20–21°C, well below August climatological averages in the mid-20s. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric conditions and official guidance through the resolution window. An unexpected rapid clearing of clouds or stronger southerly flow could allow brief warming to 22°C or above, though such shifts remain low-probability given the entrenched marine influence and persistent overcast.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$85,264結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Forecast consensus from KNMI and Met Office models supports the near-certain 21°C market outcome for Amsterdam’s daily maximum on August 17, driven by post-heatwave cooling, a northwest airflow bringing cooler North Sea air, and extensive cloud cover with light showers that limit solar heating. Current observations and model runs show daytime peaks stabilizing near 20–21°C, well below August climatological averages in the mid-20s. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric conditions and official guidance through the resolution window. An unexpected rapid clearing of clouds or stronger southerly flow could allow brief warming to 22°C or above, though such shifts remain low-probability given the entrenched marine influence and persistent overcast.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions