Recent short-term forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate maximum temperatures of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Westerly flow across the North Sea region, combined with moderate Atlantic influence and scattered showers or drizzle, is expected to keep daytime highs near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Climatological data place the average August high around 21–22°C, providing baseline context that current model consensus reinforces. Updated guidance closer to the date could shift probabilities if steering patterns or cloud cover change.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月19日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 42%
20°C 31%
22°C 22%
19°C 6%
最新
$12,470 交易量
最新
$12,470 交易量
2026-08-19
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
31%
21°C
42%
22°C
22%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
21°C 42%
20°C 31%
22°C 22%
19°C 6%
最新
$12,470 交易量
最新
$12,470 交易量
2026-08-19
16°C或以下
$648 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,100 交易量
1%
18°C
$850 交易量
2%
19°C
$1,322 交易量
6%
20°C
$2,595 交易量
31%
21°C
$1,379 交易量
42%
22°C
$2,881 交易量
22%
23°C
$899 交易量
2%
24°C
$615 交易量
<1%
25°C
$580 交易量
<1%
26°C或以上
$88 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate maximum temperatures of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Westerly flow across the North Sea region, combined with moderate Atlantic influence and scattered showers or drizzle, is expected to keep daytime highs near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Climatological data place the average August high around 21–22°C, providing baseline context that current model consensus reinforces. Updated guidance closer to the date could shift probabilities if steering patterns or cloud cover change.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$12,470結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate maximum temperatures of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Westerly flow across the North Sea region, combined with moderate Atlantic influence and scattered showers or drizzle, is expected to keep daytime highs near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Climatological data place the average August high around 21–22°C, providing baseline context that current model consensus reinforces. Updated guidance closer to the date could shift probabilities if steering patterns or cloud cover change.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,470結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent short-term forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate maximum temperatures of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Westerly flow across the North Sea region, combined with moderate Atlantic influence and scattered showers or drizzle, is expected to keep daytime highs near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Climatological data place the average August high around 21–22°C, providing baseline context that current model consensus reinforces. Updated guidance closer to the date could shift probabilities if steering patterns or cloud cover change.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions