Official National Weather Service observations and station data from Miami International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 17, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. Persistent high-pressure ridging suppressed cloud cover and limited afternoon convection across South Florida, allowing surface temperatures to climb amid a multi-day heat wave with heat indices exceeding 105°F. Forecast models from the National Hurricane Center and NOAA showed strong consensus on this range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-August when sea-surface temperatures near 86°F enhance boundary-layer warmth. Minor model spread around steering patterns or brief sea-breeze effects represented the only realistic variables that could have shifted the high outside the bin, yet none materialized in final verified readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日邁阿密的最高溫度?
94-95°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$41,981 交易量
$41,981 交易量
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
攝氏108度或更高
<1%
94-95°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$41,981 交易量
$41,981 交易量
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
攝氏108度或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service observations and station data from Miami International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 17, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. Persistent high-pressure ridging suppressed cloud cover and limited afternoon convection across South Florida, allowing surface temperatures to climb amid a multi-day heat wave with heat indices exceeding 105°F. Forecast models from the National Hurricane Center and NOAA showed strong consensus on this range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-August when sea-surface temperatures near 86°F enhance boundary-layer warmth. Minor model spread around steering patterns or brief sea-breeze effects represented the only realistic variables that could have shifted the high outside the bin, yet none materialized in final verified readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions