Trader consensus around 27–28°C for Chengdu’s August 19 high reflects model agreement on persistent monsoon moisture and scattered showers that limit afternoon solar heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies indicate daily maxima near the long-term late-August average of 28–30°C, with high humidity (often above 70%) and northeasterly flow suppressing further warming. Differentiation among closely matched outcomes hinges on precise timing of any convective cells or breaks in cloud cover, which numerical models still resolve with notable spread two days out; stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push readings toward 29–30°C, while prolonged rain favors the lower side of the distribution. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this tight range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日成都最高溫度？
8月19日成都最高溫度？
28°C 30%
27°C 27%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C
27%
28°C
30%
29°C
14%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 30%
27°C 27%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
23°C or below
$1,517 交易量
1%
24°C
$433 交易量
2%
25°C
$230 交易量
5%
26°C
$242 交易量
13%
27°C
$476 交易量
27%
28°C
$4,242 交易量
30%
29°C
$125 交易量
14%
30°C
$266 交易量
6%
31°C
$410 交易量
3%
32°C
$127 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$113 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 27–28°C for Chengdu’s August 19 high reflects model agreement on persistent monsoon moisture and scattered showers that limit afternoon solar heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies indicate daily maxima near the long-term late-August average of 28–30°C, with high humidity (often above 70%) and northeasterly flow suppressing further warming. Differentiation among closely matched outcomes hinges on precise timing of any convective cells or breaks in cloud cover, which numerical models still resolve with notable spread two days out; stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push readings toward 29–30°C, while prolonged rain favors the lower side of the distribution. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this tight range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$8,182結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 27–28°C for Chengdu’s August 19 high reflects model agreement on persistent monsoon moisture and scattered showers that limit afternoon solar heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies indicate daily maxima near the long-term late-August average of 28–30°C, with high humidity (often above 70%) and northeasterly flow suppressing further warming. Differentiation among closely matched outcomes hinges on precise timing of any convective cells or breaks in cloud cover, which numerical models still resolve with notable spread two days out; stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push readings toward 29–30°C, while prolonged rain favors the lower side of the distribution. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this tight range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,182結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTrader consensus around 27–28°C for Chengdu’s August 19 high reflects model agreement on persistent monsoon moisture and scattered showers that limit afternoon solar heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies indicate daily maxima near the long-term late-August average of 28–30°C, with high humidity (often above 70%) and northeasterly flow suppressing further warming. Differentiation among closely matched outcomes hinges on precise timing of any convective cells or breaks in cloud cover, which numerical models still resolve with notable spread two days out; stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push readings toward 29–30°C, while prolonged rain favors the lower side of the distribution. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this tight range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions