Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate moderating maximum temperatures in Chongqing around 30–32°C for August 19, driven by increased cloud cover and potential light precipitation that limits daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 31°C amid this consensus, reflecting the city’s typical subtropical summer pattern of high humidity above 70% and heat trapping by surrounding mountains, though variable steering flows and urban heat island effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日重慶氣溫最高？
8月19日重慶氣溫最高？
31°C 31%
30°C 23%
32°C 17%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
27°C or below
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
14%
30°C
23%
31°C
31%
32°C
17%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 31%
30°C 23%
32°C 17%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
27°C or below
$208 交易量
4%
28°C
$336 交易量
7%
29°C
$143 交易量
14%
30°C
$454 交易量
23%
31°C
$780 交易量
31%
32°C
$138 交易量
17%
33°C
$117 交易量
8%
34°C
$5 交易量
4%
35°C
$5 交易量
1%
36°C
$26 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$189 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate moderating maximum temperatures in Chongqing around 30–32°C for August 19, driven by increased cloud cover and potential light precipitation that limits daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 31°C amid this consensus, reflecting the city’s typical subtropical summer pattern of high humidity above 70% and heat trapping by surrounding mountains, though variable steering flows and urban heat island effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,401結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate moderating maximum temperatures in Chongqing around 30–32°C for August 19, driven by increased cloud cover and potential light precipitation that limits daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 31°C amid this consensus, reflecting the city’s typical subtropical summer pattern of high humidity above 70% and heat trapping by surrounding mountains, though variable steering flows and urban heat island effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,401結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate moderating maximum temperatures in Chongqing around 30–32°C for August 19, driven by increased cloud cover and potential light precipitation that limits daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 31°C amid this consensus, reflecting the city’s typical subtropical summer pattern of high humidity above 70% and heat trapping by surrounding mountains, though variable steering flows and urban heat island effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions